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History & Current Events

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October 2003 to November 2025, Bolivia from the Gas War to the first non-MAS president in two decades

The Architect

Bolivia, 17 October 2003: a Chicago-educated technocratic president fled the country by helicopter after sixty-seven people were killed in two weeks of road blockades organised by a coca-grower congressman named Evo Morales. This week the streets of La Paz are blocked again. Morales is sixty-six, banned from running for office, and back at the architect's table.

June 1887 to June 1890, the German Empire under Bismarck and the early reign of Wilhelm II

The Reinsurance Treaty

Berlin, 18 June 1887: the German chancellor signed a secret three-year treaty with Russia at the same time he was bound by a public treaty against Russia. The arrangement held the European peace for three more years. Then his emperor died. Trump and Putin visited Beijing within a week of each other this month.

August 1974 to December 2021, the Republic of Korea

The Daughter

Seoul, 15 August 1974: a 22-year-old woman watched her mother die at the National Theatre. Two presidencies, an assassination, an impeachment and a prison sentence later, the same arc is being walked in Peru. Keiko Fujimori is in her fourth presidential runoff on 7 June.

September 1980, the Iran-Iraq War, Tuwaitha

The Phantoms

At dawn on 30 September 1980, four Iranian F-4 Phantoms refuelled in the air over the border, climbed deliberately high, then dropped to the deck and bombed Iraq's Osirak reactor. It was the first attack on a nuclear plant in human history. Forty-six years later something flew at the UAE's Barakah.

October 1986, Reykjavík, Iceland

The Kitchen Table

Reykjavík, 12 October 1986: Reagan and Gorbachev nearly abolished all nuclear weapons and signed nothing. The press called it a disaster. Within five years the Cold War was over. In Beijing this month, Trump and Xi did the same.

1853-1870 Second French Empire, Paris

The Boulevards

Paris, 29 June 1853: Napoleon III handed a prefect a map and told him to air the city, unite it, beautify it. Three hundred and fifty thousand poor Parisians were pushed out of the centre. Lagos is doing the same thing this week.

67-66 BCE Roman Republic, Mediterranean

The Sweep

Rome, 67 BCE: the grain ships could not get past the pirates. The Senate handed one man the entire Mediterranean, and he cleared it in three months. The Republic never recovered. The Strait of Hormuz, May 2026: same chokepoint, same emergency, same temptation.

1683 to 1699, Vienna, Linz, Rome, Moscow, Mohács, Belgrade, Slankamen, Zenta, Karlowitz

The Holy League

In 1684 Pope Innocent XI bound the Habsburg empire, Poland, and Venice into a coalition against the Ottomans with an exclusivity clause: no separate peace. Fifteen years later, at Karlowitz, the Ottomans lost most of Hungary. On 15 May 2026 the IDF chief was received in Abu Dhabi.

1956 to 1972, Moscow, Camp David, Beijing, Wuhan, Ussuri

The Patron

In 1956 Nikita Khrushchev denounced Stalin and embraced peaceful coexistence with the United States. By 1960 the Soviet Union had withdrawn more than a thousand advisors from China and the alliance was broken. On 14 May 2026 Xi Jinping told Donald Trump in Beijing that Iran could never have a nuclear weapon. China is Iran's patron.

1810s to 1914, Central Asia, Saint Petersburg, London, Berlin

The Great Game

On 31 August 1907 Britain and Russia ended a century of Great Game rivalry by carving up Persia, Afghanistan and Tibet into spheres of influence. The countries themselves were not consulted. Seven years later, the First World War. On 14 May 2026 Donald Trump arrives in Beijing to do the same kind of business with Xi Jinping.